As thousands of Democrats gather this weekend in Sentul under an ever-increasing cloud of scandal, speculation is mounting over whether the embattled ruling party can emerge still standing.

Party officials, besieged by one accusation after another by fugitive and former colleague Muhammad Nazaruddin, have acknowledged the two-day national coordination meeting is needed to regroup and strengthen their solidarity.

But they have also maintained that there will not be any attempts to unseat party chairman Anas Urbaningrum, who has been the primary target of Nazaruddin’s attacks.

Is Anas in Danger?

Benny K. Harman, the party’s deputy chairman for legal affairs, surprised journalists on Thursday by saying “anything was possible” during the meeting — even a reshuffle of the party’s executive board or changes to the wider structure of the party.

“This is a coordination meeting, so we will use it to evaluate,” he said.

Even though President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono, the head of the party’s advisory board, has already said there would be no challenge to the party’s leadership during the meeting, Benny said the “probability theory” does exist.

He admitted there had been talk among party members of a possible reshuffle and speculation around the possibility of electing new leaders.

“These voices [that want changes] are the dynamics within the party. And we must listen to them,” Benny said.

Muhammad Qodari, the director of polling institute IndoBarometer, said the party was not in short supply of possible replacements for Anas, whose election last year to the party’s chairmanship has also been put under doubt by Nazaruddin’s claims of vote buying.

He cited the two other contenders for the party chairmanship — Youth and Sports Affairs Minister Andi Mallarangeng and House of Representatives Speaker Marzuki Alie. Mallarangeng was widely believed to have been Yudhoyono’s first choice for the chairmanship, and Alie is said to have had the president’s support after Andi lost in the first round of the election.

According to Qodari, even the first lady, Ani Yudhoyono, had a chance to replace Anas. “There are voices from the regions demanding that Ibu Ani take the party’s top seat, but the number is not that significant,” he said.

Besides, he added, Yudhoyono would never allow his wife to take over the party while it was going through perhaps its worst crisis since its founding in 2001.

Qodari also said it was unlikely anyone would want the job at this point.

“I don’t think anyone would want Anas’s job right now,” he said. “Everyone would think they might be the next target of Nazaruddin’s assault.”

Plague of Accusations

The past few weeks have been difficult for Anas, at one time seen as a possible presidential candidate in 2014. He has been forced to defend himself against a barrage of accusations, the least of which was buying his way to the party’s chairmanship.

In a phone interview with Metro TV from an undisclosed lo cation, Nazaruddin said Anas had collected $20 million from various sources in the run-up to the party congress last year, which he used to buy votes to secure the chairmanship.

“The money was, of course, from the state budget, from state projects,” Nazaruddin claimed.

The graft fugitive claimed that voting regional chapters received up to $80,000 each to cast their ballots for Anas.

Anas was quick to deny buying votes. He said that while his campaign team did spend some money during last year’s congress to pay the transportation and accommodation fees for supporters, “it should not be seen as money politics.”

A top official from the Papua branch of the party backed Anas on Thursday, saying that all they received was an allowance for transportation.

“I supported Anas Urbaningrum from the beginning so I was ready to vote for him even if I didn’t get anything. However, every branch office did receive Rp 20 million [$2,300] for transportation from the [national] congress committee, ” said Lukas Enembe, the Democratic Party’s Papua branch chairman.

“The convention committee gave us Rp 600 million and we used it to send 300 party members from Papua,” he added.

This practice, Lukas said, was perfectly normal.

“The money was not compensation to support one of the candidates,” he said.

Nazaruddin has also accused Anas of taking kickbacks from state projects and making a deal with Corruption Eradication Commission (KPK) deputy Chandra M. Hamzah in order to avoid being dragged into the investigation of a major graft scandal at the Ministry of Youth Affairs and Sports.

The former Democrat treasurer is a suspect in the same case, which centers on the construction of an athletes’ village in Palembang for the Southeast Asian Games in November.

“It’s another one of Nazaruddin’s hallucinations,” Anas said on Wednesday.

A Party in Panic?

Despite the worsening scandal, other Democrat officials denied Benny’s statement that a leadership reshuffle was possible this weekend.

The party’s deputy chairman, Max Supacoa, has called a reshuffle an impossibility. He said the gathering in Sentul was simply a national meeting, and the party’s basic rules would not allow for a special congress to elect a new chairman.

“We have been planning this for a year now, so it’s clear that we’re not suddenly holding this meeting because of the cases related to Nazaruddin,” Max said.

The meeting will primarily be about the programs and the work of the Democrats,” he said. “There’s no special congress. I am a deputy chairman of the party, so I know.”

Saan Mustopha, the party’s deputy secretary general, also said that since Yudhoyono had already emphasized there would be no special congress, speculating on the possibility of one was a waste of time.

That, however, has not calmed the speculation, which was further fueled when the president summoned Anas to the State Palace on Wednesday night.

But Saan said the meeting was for nothing more than Anas to report on the progress for the weekend meeting.

Mallarangeng, the secretary of the party’s advisory council, affirmed Saan’s statement. He added that the weekend’s meeting would focus on party improvement and introspection.

“We were just consolidating preparations for the coordination meeting, and as the secretary, I accompanied the head of the advisory council last night,” he said.

Saan said that while there would be talk of leadership positions during the meeting, it would only be to deal with existing vacancies.

“There are some positions that we need to look at, such as the treasurer’s position. It’s now empty, so it’s mandatory that we should fill it with someone else,” he said.

Saan also reiterated that Democrats should ignore any of the accusations being made by Nazaruddin.

After all, he said, “why should they listen to and think about statements that are coming from a fugitive?”

Saan emphasized the party was working to resolve the Nazaruddin case, and that none of the party’s work was being ignored.

IndoBarometer’s Qodari says this is just as well, because even if the party replaces Anas, its problems won’t be solved as long as Nazaruddin continues to be a thorn in the Democrats’ side.

Additional reporting by Febriamy Hutapea, Banjir Ambarita & Arientha Primanita